Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 5–6 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its decision to run separately from the reduced Joint List and the broader fragmentation of Arab-Israeli voting patterns. The addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate has aimed to broaden appeal as a potential coalition partner, yet surveys released after candidate-list finalization show limited immediate lift. Party leader Mansour Abbas has publicly targeted at least seven seats to serve as a balance of power in government formation. Traders appear to weigh these structural constraints and steady polling against the possibility of modest turnout or list-related gains that could push the outcome toward six or seven mandates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6 33.7%
4 26%
5 25%
7 10.7%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于4个席位
9%
4
26%
5
25%
6
34%
7
8%
8+
4%
6 33.7%
4 26%
5 25%
7 10.7%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于4个席位
$1,045 交易量
9%
4
$1,618 交易量
26%
5
$944 交易量
25%
6
$1,385 交易量
34%
7
$1,044 交易量
8%
8+
$861 交易量
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 5–6 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its decision to run separately from the reduced Joint List and the broader fragmentation of Arab-Israeli voting patterns. The addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate has aimed to broaden appeal as a potential coalition partner, yet surveys released after candidate-list finalization show limited immediate lift. Party leader Mansour Abbas has publicly targeted at least seven seats to serve as a balance of power in government formation. Traders appear to weigh these structural constraints and steady polling against the possibility of modest turnout or list-related gains that could push the outcome toward six or seven mandates.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$6,896结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 5–6 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its decision to run separately from the reduced Joint List and the broader fragmentation of Arab-Israeli voting patterns. The addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate has aimed to broaden appeal as a potential coalition partner, yet surveys released after candidate-list finalization show limited immediate lift. Party leader Mansour Abbas has publicly targeted at least seven seats to serve as a balance of power in government formation. Traders appear to weigh these structural constraints and steady polling against the possibility of modest turnout or list-related gains that could push the outcome toward six or seven mandates.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$6,896结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRecent polling averages place Ra'am at 5–6 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its decision to run separately from the reduced Joint List and the broader fragmentation of Arab-Israeli voting patterns. The addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to the slate has aimed to broaden appeal as a potential coalition partner, yet surveys released after candidate-list finalization show limited immediate lift. Party leader Mansour Abbas has publicly targeted at least seven seats to serve as a balance of power in government formation. Traders appear to weigh these structural constraints and steady polling against the possibility of modest turnout or list-related gains that could push the outcome toward six or seven mandates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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