Recent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7-8 66%
9-10 24%
11+ 5.9%
少于7 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于7
3%
7-8
66%
9-10
24%
11+
6%
7-8 66%
9-10 24%
11+ 5.9%
少于7 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于7
$1,057 交易量
3%
7-8
$2,531 交易量
66%
9-10
$116 交易量
24%
11+
$455 交易量
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$4,159结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$4,159结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRecent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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