Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election places Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven to ten seats, down from its eleven seats in 2022. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Channel 14, i24NEWS, and Maariv/Lazar, show the party holding steady in that range amid broader bloc fragmentation. Shas’s candidate slate, finalized September 8 with Deri at the top and a reserve officer added in the sixth spot, reflects modest internal adjustments aimed at broadening appeal while maintaining core rabbinic guidance. Traders appear to weigh these results against the party’s reliable Haredi voter base and coalition dynamics, viewing eight or nine seats as the most probable outcome in the current environment of fluctuating right-wing support and ongoing debates over military enlistment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8-9 41%
10-11 26%
6-7 21%
12+ 8%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6个席位
5%
6-7
21%
8-9
41%
10-11
26%
12+
8%
8-9 41%
10-11 26%
6-7 21%
12+ 8%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少于6个席位
$410 交易量
5%
6-7
$1,098 交易量
21%
8-9
$734 交易量
41%
10-11
$506 交易量
26%
12+
$725 交易量
8%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election places Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven to ten seats, down from its eleven seats in 2022. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Channel 14, i24NEWS, and Maariv/Lazar, show the party holding steady in that range amid broader bloc fragmentation. Shas’s candidate slate, finalized September 8 with Deri at the top and a reserve officer added in the sixth spot, reflects modest internal adjustments aimed at broadening appeal while maintaining core rabbinic guidance. Traders appear to weigh these results against the party’s reliable Haredi voter base and coalition dynamics, viewing eight or nine seats as the most probable outcome in the current environment of fluctuating right-wing support and ongoing debates over military enlistment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$3,472结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election places Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven to ten seats, down from its eleven seats in 2022. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Channel 14, i24NEWS, and Maariv/Lazar, show the party holding steady in that range amid broader bloc fragmentation. Shas’s candidate slate, finalized September 8 with Deri at the top and a reserve officer added in the sixth spot, reflects modest internal adjustments aimed at broadening appeal while maintaining core rabbinic guidance. Traders appear to weigh these results against the party’s reliable Haredi voter base and coalition dynamics, viewing eight or nine seats as the most probable outcome in the current environment of fluctuating right-wing support and ongoing debates over military enlistment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$3,472结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRecent polling ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election places Shas, the Sephardic ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven to ten seats, down from its eleven seats in 2022. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Channel 14, i24NEWS, and Maariv/Lazar, show the party holding steady in that range amid broader bloc fragmentation. Shas’s candidate slate, finalized September 8 with Deri at the top and a reserve officer added in the sixth spot, reflects modest internal adjustments aimed at broadening appeal while maintaining core rabbinic guidance. Traders appear to weigh these results against the party’s reliable Haredi voter base and coalition dynamics, viewing eight or nine seats as the most probable outcome in the current environment of fluctuating right-wing support and ongoing debates over military enlistment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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