Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,437 交易量
$38,437 交易量
2026-11-02
玛丽·米勒（共和党）
96%
詹妮弗·托德（民主党）
6%
$38,437 交易量
$38,437 交易量
2026-11-02
玛丽·米勒（共和党）
$19,733 交易量
96%
詹妮弗·托德（民主党）
$18,705 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$38,437结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,437结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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