Nikki Budzinski’s commanding position in the Illinois 13th congressional district stems from her status as a well-funded incumbent in a Democratic-leaning seat redrawn after 2020. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member and Navy veteran who won his primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Budzinski’s prior 58 percent general-election margin and the district’s central Illinois composition spanning Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,873 交易量
$14,873 交易量
2026-11-02
妮基·布津斯基（民主党）
95%
杰夫·威尔逊（共和党）
6%
$14,873 交易量
$14,873 交易量
2026-11-02
妮基·布津斯基（民主党）
$8,108 交易量
95%
杰夫·威尔逊（共和党）
$6,766 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski’s commanding position in the Illinois 13th congressional district stems from her status as a well-funded incumbent in a Democratic-leaning seat redrawn after 2020. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member and Navy veteran who won his primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Budzinski’s prior 58 percent general-election margin and the district’s central Illinois composition spanning Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,873结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski’s commanding position in the Illinois 13th congressional district stems from her status as a well-funded incumbent in a Democratic-leaning seat redrawn after 2020. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member and Navy veteran who won his primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Budzinski’s prior 58 percent general-election margin and the district’s central Illinois composition spanning Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,873结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNikki Budzinski’s commanding position in the Illinois 13th congressional district stems from her status as a well-funded incumbent in a Democratic-leaning seat redrawn after 2020. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, a Champaign County Board member and Navy veteran who won his primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Budzinski’s prior 58 percent general-election margin and the district’s central Illinois composition spanning Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and the Metro East. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Budzinski aligns with these structural factors. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unexpected turnout shift could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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