Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月21日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 54%
27°C或更高 35%
25°C 8%
24°C 4.4%
最新
$16,872 交易量
最新
$16,872 交易量
2026-09-21
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
54%
27°C或更高
35%
26°C 54%
27°C或更高 35%
25°C 8%
24°C 4.4%
最新
$16,872 交易量
最新
$16,872 交易量
2026-09-21
17°C或以下
$579 交易量
<1%
18°C
$16 交易量
<1%
19°C
$31 交易量
<1%
20°C
$31 交易量
<1%
21°C
$41 交易量
<1%
22°C
$41 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,646 交易量
1%
24°C
$743 交易量
4%
25°C
$3,757 交易量
8%
26°C
$3,206 交易量
54%
27°C或更高
$6,782 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,872结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,872结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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