Traders have converged on a 20°C high for London on September 20 with near-certainty because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models consistently project a maximum around 19–21°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms near the 19.5°C average high for the date, with recent observational data from stations such as Heathrow confirming readings peaking near this threshold. Minor model spreads or slight variations in urban heat-island effects could shift the exact recorded value by 1°C, but late-day verification leaves little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日伦敦气温最高?
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$66,940 交易量
$66,940 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$66,940 交易量
$66,940 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on a 20°C high for London on September 20 with near-certainty because official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models consistently project a maximum around 19–21°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms near the 19.5°C average high for the date, with recent observational data from stations such as Heathrow confirming readings peaking near this threshold. Minor model spreads or slight variations in urban heat-island effects could shift the exact recorded value by 1°C, but late-day verification leaves little room for deviation outside the narrow 20°C outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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