Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida special Senate election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her incumbency as the appointee filling Marco Rubio's vacated seat. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising, endorsements from state and national Republican figures, and alignment with the electorate's priorities on economic and security issues. Angie Nixon's August primary upset victory over a better-funded moderate Democrat highlighted progressive momentum within the party but has reinforced perceptions of a challenging general election matchup in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly nine points, supporting trader consensus on her strong position. Late developments such as a significant scandal or sharp national economic downturn could still narrow the race before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$111,823 交易量
$111,823 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
93%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
8%
$111,823 交易量
$111,823 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
$56,363 交易量
93%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
$55,461 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida special Senate election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her incumbency as the appointee filling Marco Rubio's vacated seat. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising, endorsements from state and national Republican figures, and alignment with the electorate's priorities on economic and security issues. Angie Nixon's August primary upset victory over a better-funded moderate Democrat highlighted progressive momentum within the party but has reinforced perceptions of a challenging general election matchup in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly nine points, supporting trader consensus on her strong position. Late developments such as a significant scandal or sharp national economic downturn could still narrow the race before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$111,823市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida special Senate election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her incumbency as the appointee filling Marco Rubio's vacated seat. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising, endorsements from state and national Republican figures, and alignment with the electorate's priorities on economic and security issues. Angie Nixon's August primary upset victory over a better-funded moderate Democrat highlighted progressive momentum within the party but has reinforced perceptions of a challenging general election matchup in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly nine points, supporting trader consensus on her strong position. Late developments such as a significant scandal or sharp national economic downturn could still narrow the race before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$111,823市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAshley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida special Senate election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her incumbency as the appointee filling Marco Rubio's vacated seat. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition and benefits from substantial fundraising, endorsements from state and national Republican figures, and alignment with the electorate's priorities on economic and security issues. Angie Nixon's August primary upset victory over a better-funded moderate Democrat highlighted progressive momentum within the party but has reinforced perceptions of a challenging general election matchup in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2012. Polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly nine points, supporting trader consensus on her strong position. Late developments such as a significant scandal or sharp national economic downturn could still narrow the race before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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