Florida's congressional redistricting in 2026 shifted the 9th district's Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+8, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee counties while diluting prior Democratic strongholds. This structural change positioned Republican nominee Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration defense official who narrowly won the August primary, as the frontrunner. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed on his side but faces a more challenging electorate. Recent campaign contrasts, including Green's criticism of Soto's vote against tax relief provisions, have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,843 交易量
$19,843 交易量
2026-11-02
丹·格林（共和党）
65%
达伦·索托（民主党）
33%
$19,843 交易量
$19,843 交易量
2026-11-02
丹·格林（共和党）
$11,628 交易量
65%
达伦·索托（民主党）
$8,215 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's congressional redistricting in 2026 shifted the 9th district's Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+8, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee counties while diluting prior Democratic strongholds. This structural change positioned Republican nominee Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration defense official who narrowly won the August primary, as the frontrunner. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed on his side but faces a more challenging electorate. Recent campaign contrasts, including Green's criticism of Soto's vote against tax relief provisions, have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$19,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's congressional redistricting in 2026 shifted the 9th district's Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+8, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee counties while diluting prior Democratic strongholds. This structural change positioned Republican nominee Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration defense official who narrowly won the August primary, as the frontrunner. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed on his side but faces a more challenging electorate. Recent campaign contrasts, including Green's criticism of Soto's vote against tax relief provisions, have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETFlorida's congressional redistricting in 2026 shifted the 9th district's Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+8, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Indian River, Highlands, and Okeechobee counties while diluting prior Democratic strongholds. This structural change positioned Republican nominee Dan Green, a Navy veteran and former Trump administration defense official who narrowly won the August primary, as the frontrunner. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed on his side but faces a more challenging electorate. Recent campaign contrasts, including Green's criticism of Soto's vote against tax relief provisions, have reinforced trader consensus around the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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