Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,114 交易量
$25,114 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞安·伊利亚（共和党）
68%
贝尔·道尔顿（民主党）
33%
$25,114 交易量
$25,114 交易量
2026-11-02
瑞安·伊利亚（共和党）
$14,454 交易量
68%
贝尔·道尔顿（民主党）
$10,660 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$25,114结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,114结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRyan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the district’s Republican lean across Seminole and Volusia counties and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings. Elijah secured the GOP nomination on August 18 by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid the latter’s ethics issues, positioning the former news anchor as a scandal-free alternative focused on costs, law enforcement, and veterans. Bale Dalton, the Democratic nominee and retired Navy captain with NASA experience, won his primary and highlights economic relief and housing concerns, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. A September 10 statement by Elijah clarifying his 2020 election views drew partisan pushback but has not shifted the broader market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题