Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,450 交易量
$27,450 交易量
2026-11-02
亚伦·比恩（共和党）
89%
拉肖达·霍洛韦（民主党）
11%
$27,450 交易量
$27,450 交易量
2026-11-02
亚伦·比恩（共和党）
$16,752 交易量
89%
拉肖达·霍洛韦（民主党）
$10,698 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$27,450结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,450结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETIncumbent Republican Aaron Bean holds a strong position in Florida’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, benefiting from the absence of a Republican primary opponent and endorsements including from President Trump. The district, which covers parts of Duval, Nassau, and Clay counties, has consistently leaned Republican, as shown by Bean’s 57.3% victory margin in 2024. Democratic nominee LaShonda Holloway secured her party’s nomination in the August 18 primary but faces a significant fundraising gap, with Bean reporting over $2 million raised compared to her roughly $27,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the structural advantages of incumbency in this Northeast Florida seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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