Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+13 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by roughly 23 points in 2024. Himes secured re-election in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who won his August 2026 primary, trails significantly in fundraising with under $50,000 raised compared to Himes's more than $1.3 million. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and historical margins limit realistic paths for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,179 交易量
$48,179 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主党）
98%
迈克尔·戈德斯坦（共和党）
2%
$48,179 交易量
$48,179 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主党）
$22,193 交易量
98%
迈克尔·戈德斯坦（共和党）
$25,986 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+13 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by roughly 23 points in 2024. Himes secured re-election in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who won his August 2026 primary, trails significantly in fundraising with under $50,000 raised compared to Himes's more than $1.3 million. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and historical margins limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$48,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+13 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by roughly 23 points in 2024. Himes secured re-election in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who won his August 2026 primary, trails significantly in fundraising with under $50,000 raised compared to Himes's more than $1.3 million. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and historical margins limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in a D+13 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by roughly 23 points in 2024. Himes secured re-election in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote and faces no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who won his August 2026 primary, trails significantly in fundraising with under $50,000 raised compared to Himes's more than $1.3 million. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican performance could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and historical margins limit realistic paths for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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