Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima gubernatorial market at 85% implied probability following her August 25, 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the Cuarta Transformación, a role widely viewed as the party's formal endorsement ahead of the June 6, 2027 election. Internal party surveys and independent polling place her well ahead of other Morena-PT-PVEM aspirants such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña, while statewide models give the coalition a roughly two-thirds chance of retaining the governorship. Opposition figures including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Sofía Peralta Ferro, and Mely Romero Celis register single-digit probabilities amid fragmented party structures and lower name recognition. Bayardo's prior tenure as Manzanillo municipal president and alignment with the incumbent administration underpin trader consensus on her path to the nomination and general-election advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.4%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.9%
Sofía Peralta Ferro 2.7%
$36,012 交易量
$36,012 交易量
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
5%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
3%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
3%
Joel Padilla Peña
3%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
2%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
2%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
2%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
José Israel González
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.4%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora 2.9%
Sofía Peralta Ferro 2.7%
$36,012 交易量
$36,012 交易量
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
85%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
5%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
3%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
3%
Joel Padilla Peña
3%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
2%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
2%
Margarita Moreno González
2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
2%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
José Israel González
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima gubernatorial market at 85% implied probability following her August 25, 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the Cuarta Transformación, a role widely viewed as the party's formal endorsement ahead of the June 6, 2027 election. Internal party surveys and independent polling place her well ahead of other Morena-PT-PVEM aspirants such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña, while statewide models give the coalition a roughly two-thirds chance of retaining the governorship. Opposition figures including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Sofía Peralta Ferro, and Mely Romero Celis register single-digit probabilities amid fragmented party structures and lower name recognition. Bayardo's prior tenure as Manzanillo municipal president and alignment with the incumbent administration underpin trader consensus on her path to the nomination and general-election advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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