The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly competitive, with traders assigning comparable probabilities across leading contenders amid an unresolved internal contest within the Morena-led coalition and an early positioning phase for the PAN opposition. Marco Bonilla Mendoza, the PAN mayor of Chihuahua capital, holds the highest implied probability after party selection processes advanced his candidacy, while Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, the Ciudad Juárez mayor on leave, leads Morena internal preferences in recent surveys ahead of Andrea Chávez Treviño and other aspirants. The market reflects uncertainty more than a year before the vote, driven by undecided voters in polling, ongoing coalition negotiations, tensions between the PAN state government and federal authorities over security matters, and the potential for PAN-PRI alliances or further Morena unification moves to shift momentum ahead of candidate registration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马尔科·博尼利亚·门多萨 48%
克鲁斯·佩雷斯·库埃利亚 26%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 16%
弗朗西斯科·桑切斯·比利亚加斯 7.2%
$15,900 交易量
$15,900 交易量
马尔科·博尼利亚·门多萨
48%
克鲁斯·佩雷斯·库埃利亚
26%
Andrea Chávez Treviño
16%
弗朗西斯科·桑切斯·比利亚加斯
7%
胡利安·莱巴龙
6%
马丁·查帕罗·帕扬
3%
罗萨娜·迪亚斯·雷耶斯
1%
丹尼埃拉·阿尔瓦雷斯·埃尔南德斯
1%
阿尔弗雷多·洛索亚·桑蒂利安
1%
马里奥·巴斯克斯·罗布莱斯
<1%
圣地亚哥·德拉佩尼亚·格拉赫达
<1%
路易斯·卡洛斯·阿列塔·拉维南特
<1%
亚历杭德罗·多明格斯·多明格斯
<1%
Graciela Ortiz González
<1%
赫苏斯·瓦伦西亚诺·加西亚
<1%
吉尔伯托·洛亚·查韦斯
<1%
马尔科·博尼利亚·门多萨 48%
克鲁斯·佩雷斯·库埃利亚 26%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 16%
弗朗西斯科·桑切斯·比利亚加斯 7.2%
$15,900 交易量
$15,900 交易量
马尔科·博尼利亚·门多萨
48%
克鲁斯·佩雷斯·库埃利亚
26%
Andrea Chávez Treviño
16%
弗朗西斯科·桑切斯·比利亚加斯
7%
胡利安·莱巴龙
6%
马丁·查帕罗·帕扬
3%
罗萨娜·迪亚斯·雷耶斯
1%
丹尼埃拉·阿尔瓦雷斯·埃尔南德斯
1%
阿尔弗雷多·洛索亚·桑蒂利安
1%
马里奥·巴斯克斯·罗布莱斯
<1%
圣地亚哥·德拉佩尼亚·格拉赫达
<1%
路易斯·卡洛斯·阿列塔·拉维南特
<1%
亚历杭德罗·多明格斯·多明格斯
<1%
Graciela Ortiz González
<1%
赫苏斯·瓦伦西亚诺·加西亚
<1%
吉尔伯托·洛亚·查韦斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly competitive, with traders assigning comparable probabilities across leading contenders amid an unresolved internal contest within the Morena-led coalition and an early positioning phase for the PAN opposition. Marco Bonilla Mendoza, the PAN mayor of Chihuahua capital, holds the highest implied probability after party selection processes advanced his candidacy, while Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, the Ciudad Juárez mayor on leave, leads Morena internal preferences in recent surveys ahead of Andrea Chávez Treviño and other aspirants. The market reflects uncertainty more than a year before the vote, driven by undecided voters in polling, ongoing coalition negotiations, tensions between the PAN state government and federal authorities over security matters, and the potential for PAN-PRI alliances or further Morena unification moves to shift momentum ahead of candidate registration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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