Ciro Gomes maintains a polling edge in most recent surveys for Ceará’s October 2026 gubernatorial election, backed by alliances with center-right parties including the PL and União Brasil federation, which secured his vice-governor and Senate running mates. Elmano de Freitas, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election with Lula administration support, has closed the gap in early September data, producing technical ties or single-digit leads for Ciro in first-round scenarios across institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Trader pricing reflects Ciro’s consistent name recognition, coalition breadth, and historical performance in the state despite tightening margins and ongoing campaign exchanges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,098 交易量
$216,098 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$216,098 交易量
$216,098 交易量
2026-10-04
Ciro Gomes
$102,096 交易量
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$43,123 交易量
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 交易量
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$16,424 交易量
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 交易量
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a polling edge in most recent surveys for Ceará’s October 2026 gubernatorial election, backed by alliances with center-right parties including the PL and União Brasil federation, which secured his vice-governor and Senate running mates. Elmano de Freitas, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election with Lula administration support, has closed the gap in early September data, producing technical ties or single-digit leads for Ciro in first-round scenarios across institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Trader pricing reflects Ciro’s consistent name recognition, coalition breadth, and historical performance in the state despite tightening margins and ongoing campaign exchanges.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$216,098结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETThe Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes maintains a polling edge in most recent surveys for Ceará’s October 2026 gubernatorial election, backed by alliances with center-right parties including the PL and União Brasil federation, which secured his vice-governor and Senate running mates. Elmano de Freitas, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election with Lula administration support, has closed the gap in early September data, producing technical ties or single-digit leads for Ciro in first-round scenarios across institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Trader pricing reflects Ciro’s consistent name recognition, coalition breadth, and historical performance in the state despite tightening margins and ongoing campaign exchanges.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$216,098结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETCiro Gomes maintains a polling edge in most recent surveys for Ceará’s October 2026 gubernatorial election, backed by alliances with center-right parties including the PL and União Brasil federation, which secured his vice-governor and Senate running mates. Elmano de Freitas, the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election with Lula administration support, has closed the gap in early September data, producing technical ties or single-digit leads for Ciro in first-round scenarios across institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Trader pricing reflects Ciro’s consistent name recognition, coalition breadth, and historical performance in the state despite tightening margins and ongoing campaign exchanges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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