Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism shapes trader expectations for date-specific markets on whether he will insult an individual. As president in September 2026, he continues to target journalists during press interactions, labeling questions "stupid," directing remarks like "not you, you're the worst," or dismissing outlets as "fake news." Recent statements on Iran policy, midterm incentives, and media access have included pointed personal language, while Truth Social posts and speeches reference opponents or figures by name or trait. Upcoming events such as UN meetings, midterm campaigning, and ongoing foreign policy decisions provide additional platforms for public remarks. Traders assess these recurring behaviors against resolution criteria that require clear, attributable negative personal or professional attacks in verifiable public statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,541 交易量
9月3日
75%
9月19日
35%
9月20日
87%
9月21日
92%
9月22日
55%
9月23日
88%
9月24日
81%
9月25日
88%
9月26日
85%
9月27日
86%
9月28日
89%
9月29日
89%
9月30日
91%
$47,541 交易量
9月3日
75%
9月19日
35%
9月20日
87%
9月21日
92%
9月22日
55%
9月23日
88%
9月24日
81%
9月25日
88%
9月26日
85%
9月27日
86%
9月28日
89%
9月29日
89%
9月30日
91%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism shapes trader expectations for date-specific markets on whether he will insult an individual. As president in September 2026, he continues to target journalists during press interactions, labeling questions "stupid," directing remarks like "not you, you're the worst," or dismissing outlets as "fake news." Recent statements on Iran policy, midterm incentives, and media access have included pointed personal language, while Truth Social posts and speeches reference opponents or figures by name or trait. Upcoming events such as UN meetings, midterm campaigning, and ongoing foreign policy decisions provide additional platforms for public remarks. Traders assess these recurring behaviors against resolution criteria that require clear, attributable negative personal or professional attacks in verifiable public statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions