Recent polling from sources such as Marquette, CBS/YouGov, and Reuters/Ipsos places President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to the protracted U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and persistent inflation concerns. These factors have weighed on support even among some conservative voters while independents remain largely negative. The narrow clustering of recent results around 37–39 percent, combined with the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 25 measurement, keeps trader probabilities tightly concentrated on the 38.0–38.9 range. Any late diplomatic signals or economic data releases could still shift the final reading within that band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於38.0–38.4 35%
38.5–38.9 34%
39.0–39.4 12%
37.5–37.9 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
低於37.5
5%
37.5–37.9
12%
38.0–38.4
35%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0–39.4
16%
39.5+
8%
38.0–38.4 35%
38.5–38.9 34%
39.0–39.4 12%
37.5–37.9 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
低於37.5
$35 交易量
5%
37.5–37.9
$55 交易量
12%
38.0–38.4
$217 交易量
35%
38.5–38.9
$136 交易量
38%
39.0–39.4
$510 交易量
16%
39.5+
$35 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources such as Marquette, CBS/YouGov, and Reuters/Ipsos places President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to the protracted U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and persistent inflation concerns. These factors have weighed on support even among some conservative voters while independents remain largely negative. The narrow clustering of recent results around 37–39 percent, combined with the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 25 measurement, keeps trader probabilities tightly concentrated on the 38.0–38.9 range. Any late diplomatic signals or economic data releases could still shift the final reading within that band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
交易量
$988結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETThis market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources such as Marquette, CBS/YouGov, and Reuters/Ipsos places President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to the protracted U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and persistent inflation concerns. These factors have weighed on support even among some conservative voters while independents remain largely negative. The narrow clustering of recent results around 37–39 percent, combined with the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 25 measurement, keeps trader probabilities tightly concentrated on the 38.0–38.9 range. Any late diplomatic signals or economic data releases could still shift the final reading within that band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$988結束日期
2026-09-25市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETRecent polling from sources such as Marquette, CBS/YouGov, and Reuters/Ipsos places President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of mid-September 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to the protracted U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and persistent inflation concerns. These factors have weighed on support even among some conservative voters while independents remain largely negative. The narrow clustering of recent results around 37–39 percent, combined with the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 25 measurement, keeps trader probabilities tightly concentrated on the 38.0–38.9 range. Any late diplomatic signals or economic data releases could still shift the final reading within that band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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