President Trump’s recent reversal on direct U.S. military strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen has anchored trader expectations that no War Powers Resolution report will be submitted by September 30. After Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pressed for joint action amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea, the administration advanced target lists and loaded ordnance on aircraft, yet Trump halted preparations on September 20 and opted instead for intelligence support and partner-led responses. With U.S. forces already engaged in the broader Iran conflict and Congress repeatedly invoking war powers measures to constrain new hostilities, officials have signaled no imminent combat involvement that would trigger the 48-hour notification requirement. This stance, reinforced by the administration’s emphasis on avoiding additional fronts before midterm elections, underpins the 92.7% implied probability for “No.”
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
$46,594 交易量
$46,594 交易量
2026-09-30
是
7% 機率
$46,594 交易量
$46,594 交易量
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s recent reversal on direct U.S. military strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen has anchored trader expectations that no War Powers Resolution report will be submitted by September 30. After Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pressed for joint action amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea, the administration advanced target lists and loaded ordnance on aircraft, yet Trump halted preparations on September 20 and opted instead for intelligence support and partner-led responses. With U.S. forces already engaged in the broader Iran conflict and Congress repeatedly invoking war powers measures to constrain new hostilities, officials have signaled no imminent combat involvement that would trigger the 48-hour notification requirement. This stance, reinforced by the administration’s emphasis on avoiding additional fronts before midterm elections, underpins the 92.7% implied probability for “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$46,594結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s recent reversal on direct U.S. military strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen has anchored trader expectations that no War Powers Resolution report will be submitted by September 30. After Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pressed for joint action amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea, the administration advanced target lists and loaded ordnance on aircraft, yet Trump halted preparations on September 20 and opted instead for intelligence support and partner-led responses. With U.S. forces already engaged in the broader Iran conflict and Congress repeatedly invoking war powers measures to constrain new hostilities, officials have signaled no imminent combat involvement that would trigger the 48-hour notification requirement. This stance, reinforced by the administration’s emphasis on avoiding additional fronts before midterm elections, underpins the 92.7% implied probability for “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$46,594結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ETPresident Trump’s recent reversal on direct U.S. military strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen has anchored trader expectations that no War Powers Resolution report will be submitted by September 30. After Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman pressed for joint action amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea, the administration advanced target lists and loaded ordnance on aircraft, yet Trump halted preparations on September 20 and opted instead for intelligence support and partner-led responses. With U.S. forces already engaged in the broader Iran conflict and Congress repeatedly invoking war powers measures to constrain new hostilities, officials have signaled no imminent combat involvement that would trigger the 48-hour notification requirement. This stance, reinforced by the administration’s emphasis on avoiding additional fronts before midterm elections, underpins the 92.7% implied probability for “No.”
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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