With The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Odyssey clustered near the top of trader pricing for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay race, sentiment reflects a wide-open contest shaped by distinct campaign strengths rather than a single frontrunner. The Invite benefits from strong critical consensus and guild-friendly source material as an A24 comedy-drama that earned Sundance acclaim and solid box-office tracking, while The Black Ball draws momentum from its Cannes premiere buzz and ambitious literary pedigree as a Netflix-backed Lorca-inspired queer epic. The Odyssey leverages Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with a high-profile literary adaptation. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three face steeper barriers from timing and category competition. Absent guild or critics’ awards results until early 2027, traders are pricing in the inherent fluidity of early Oscar cycles, where festival reception, late-year releases, and precursor voting will likely determine which adaptation pulls ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Invite 30%
The Black Ball 27%
The Odyssey 27%
Project Hail Mary 6.6%
$25,537 交易量
$25,537 交易量
2027-03-14
The Invite
30%
The Black Ball
27%
The Odyssey
27%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
7%
Wildwood
6%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Ink
5%
Dune: Part Three
5%
All of a Sudden
4%
Clarissa
2%
Cry to Heaven
1%
Saturn Return
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
The Invite 30%
The Black Ball 27%
The Odyssey 27%
Project Hail Mary 6.6%
$25,537 交易量
$25,537 交易量
2027-03-14
The Invite
$5,108 交易量
30%
The Black Ball
$13,868 交易量
27%
The Odyssey
$2,155 交易量
27%
Project Hail Mary
$460 交易量
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$311 交易量
7%
Wildwood
$512 交易量
6%
The Social Reckoning
$232 交易量
5%
Ink
$829 交易量
5%
Dune: Part Three
$393 交易量
5%
All of a Sudden
$600 交易量
4%
Clarissa
$162 交易量
2%
Cry to Heaven
$201 交易量
1%
Saturn Return
$198 交易量
1%
Toy Story 5
$323 交易量
1%
The Whisper Man
$187 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Odyssey clustered near the top of trader pricing for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay race, sentiment reflects a wide-open contest shaped by distinct campaign strengths rather than a single frontrunner. The Invite benefits from strong critical consensus and guild-friendly source material as an A24 comedy-drama that earned Sundance acclaim and solid box-office tracking, while The Black Ball draws momentum from its Cannes premiere buzz and ambitious literary pedigree as a Netflix-backed Lorca-inspired queer epic. The Odyssey leverages Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with a high-profile literary adaptation. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three face steeper barriers from timing and category competition. Absent guild or critics’ awards results until early 2027, traders are pricing in the inherent fluidity of early Oscar cycles, where festival reception, late-year releases, and precursor voting will likely determine which adaptation pulls ahead.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$25,537結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Odyssey clustered near the top of trader pricing for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay race, sentiment reflects a wide-open contest shaped by distinct campaign strengths rather than a single frontrunner. The Invite benefits from strong critical consensus and guild-friendly source material as an A24 comedy-drama that earned Sundance acclaim and solid box-office tracking, while The Black Ball draws momentum from its Cannes premiere buzz and ambitious literary pedigree as a Netflix-backed Lorca-inspired queer epic. The Odyssey leverages Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with a high-profile literary adaptation. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three face steeper barriers from timing and category competition. Absent guild or critics’ awards results until early 2027, traders are pricing in the inherent fluidity of early Oscar cycles, where festival reception, late-year releases, and precursor voting will likely determine which adaptation pulls ahead.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$25,537結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETWith The Invite, The Black Ball, and The Odyssey clustered near the top of trader pricing for the 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay race, sentiment reflects a wide-open contest shaped by distinct campaign strengths rather than a single frontrunner. The Invite benefits from strong critical consensus and guild-friendly source material as an A24 comedy-drama that earned Sundance acclaim and solid box-office tracking, while The Black Ball draws momentum from its Cannes premiere buzz and ambitious literary pedigree as a Netflix-backed Lorca-inspired queer epic. The Odyssey leverages Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with a high-profile literary adaptation. Lower-priced contenders such as Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three face steeper barriers from timing and category competition. Absent guild or critics’ awards results until early 2027, traders are pricing in the inherent fluidity of early Oscar cycles, where festival reception, late-year releases, and precursor voting will likely determine which adaptation pulls ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions