Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” commands the strongest trader consensus in the VMA Best Pop market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its massive commercial performance as the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s unmatched VMA history as the most-awarded artist. The song’s visually elaborate, director-credited video also secured multiple technical nods, reinforcing its momentum ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees— including Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” and entries from Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae—sit far behind, reflecting a field where Swift’s cultural dominance and fan-voting edge create a wide gap. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, leaving limited room for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於VMA最佳流行2026
VMA最佳流行2026
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒絲） 49%
Drop Dead（Olivia Rodrigo） 26%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter） 14%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎） 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒絲）
69%
Drop Dead（Olivia Rodrigo）
26%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter）
14%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎）
10%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande）
9%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
8%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
8%
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒絲） 49%
Drop Dead（Olivia Rodrigo） 26%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter） 14%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎） 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒絲）
$20 交易量
69%
Drop Dead（Olivia Rodrigo）
$0 交易量
26%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter）
$0 交易量
14%
Dream（Lisa 與坂口健太郎）
$0 交易量
10%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande）
$0 交易量
9%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
$0 交易量
8%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
$0 交易量
8%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” commands the strongest trader consensus in the VMA Best Pop market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its massive commercial performance as the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s unmatched VMA history as the most-awarded artist. The song’s visually elaborate, director-credited video also secured multiple technical nods, reinforcing its momentum ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees— including Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” and entries from Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae—sit far behind, reflecting a field where Swift’s cultural dominance and fan-voting edge create a wide gap. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, leaving limited room for late shifts.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” commands the strongest trader consensus in the VMA Best Pop market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its massive commercial performance as the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s unmatched VMA history as the most-awarded artist. The song’s visually elaborate, director-credited video also secured multiple technical nods, reinforcing its momentum ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees— including Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” and entries from Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae—sit far behind, reflecting a field where Swift’s cultural dominance and fan-voting edge create a wide gap. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, leaving limited room for late shifts.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETTaylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” commands the strongest trader consensus in the VMA Best Pop market at 68.5% implied probability, driven by its massive commercial performance as the lead single from her 2025 album *The Life of a Showgirl*, record-breaking streaming numbers, and Swift’s unmatched VMA history as the most-awarded artist. The song’s visually elaborate, director-credited video also secured multiple technical nods, reinforcing its momentum ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees— including Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me,” Olivia Rodrigo’s “Drop Dead,” and entries from Sabrina Carpenter, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae—sit far behind, reflecting a field where Swift’s cultural dominance and fan-voting edge create a wide gap. Fan voting closes Sept. 25, leaving limited room for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions