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icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎

Julianne Moore 70%

Inde Navarrette 13%

Renate Reinsve 9%

Sandra Hüller 4.4%

Polymarket

$139,108 交易量

Julianne Moore 70%

Inde Navarrette 13%

Renate Reinsve 9%

Sandra Hüller 4.4%

Polymarket

$139,108 交易量

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$91,720 交易量

70%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$28,487 交易量

13%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$12,599 交易量

9%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$3,715 交易量

4%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$188 交易量

2%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$721 交易量

1%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$217 交易量

1%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$179 交易量

1%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$265 交易量

<1%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$160 交易量

<1%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$857 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$139,108
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$139,108
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julianne Moore" at 70%, followed by "Inde Navarrette" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" has generated $139.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" is "Julianne Moore" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inde Navarrette" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.