Paul Giamatti holds a narrow lead in the Best Supporting Actor market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by traders’ recognition of his proven awards pedigree and consistent critical acclaim in ensemble roles. The field remains highly competitive, with dozens of names clustered near 50% and established performers such as Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson trading in the mid-teens, underscoring the early-stage uncertainty before most 2026 releases have screened. Guild nominations, critics’ circle results, and late-year festival buzz will serve as key swing factors, while historical patterns show supporting categories often shift rapidly once voting bodies see full campaigns and precursor outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 53%
Robert Pattinson 9.1%
John Goodman 6.7%
Sam Rockwell 6.0%
$26,232 交易量
$26,232 交易量
2027-03-14
Paul Giamatti
53%
Robert Pattinson
9%
John Goodman
7%
Sam Rockwell
6%
Miles Teller
6%
Robert De Niro
4%
Steve Buscemi
4%
Tom Holland
4%
Jesse Plemons
4%
Jeremy Strong
4%
Riz Ahmed
4%
Himesh Patel
4%
Daniel Craig
4%
Edward Norton
3%
Michael Fassbender
15%
Colman Domingo
3%
Adam Scott
3%
Channing Tatum
2%
蓋·皮爾斯
6%
Charles Melton
1%
James Ortiz
1%
Travis Scott
1%
Paul Giamatti 53%
Robert Pattinson 9.1%
John Goodman 6.7%
Sam Rockwell 6.0%
$26,232 交易量
$26,232 交易量
2027-03-14
Paul Giamatti
$5,892 交易量
53%
Robert Pattinson
$14,338 交易量
9%
John Goodman
$1,511 交易量
7%
Sam Rockwell
$164 交易量
6%
Miles Teller
$150 交易量
6%
Robert De Niro
$134 交易量
4%
Steve Buscemi
$125 交易量
4%
Tom Holland
$275 交易量
4%
Jesse Plemons
$155 交易量
4%
Jeremy Strong
$134 交易量
4%
Riz Ahmed
$162 交易量
4%
Himesh Patel
$132 交易量
4%
Daniel Craig
$132 交易量
4%
Edward Norton
$205 交易量
3%
Michael Fassbender
$157 交易量
15%
Colman Domingo
$273 交易量
3%
Adam Scott
$157 交易量
3%
Channing Tatum
$222 交易量
2%
蓋·皮爾斯
$694 交易量
6%
Charles Melton
$727 交易量
1%
James Ortiz
$152 交易量
1%
Travis Scott
$337 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds a narrow lead in the Best Supporting Actor market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by traders’ recognition of his proven awards pedigree and consistent critical acclaim in ensemble roles. The field remains highly competitive, with dozens of names clustered near 50% and established performers such as Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson trading in the mid-teens, underscoring the early-stage uncertainty before most 2026 releases have screened. Guild nominations, critics’ circle results, and late-year festival buzz will serve as key swing factors, while historical patterns show supporting categories often shift rapidly once voting bodies see full campaigns and precursor outcomes.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$26,232結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds a narrow lead in the Best Supporting Actor market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by traders’ recognition of his proven awards pedigree and consistent critical acclaim in ensemble roles. The field remains highly competitive, with dozens of names clustered near 50% and established performers such as Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson trading in the mid-teens, underscoring the early-stage uncertainty before most 2026 releases have screened. Guild nominations, critics’ circle results, and late-year festival buzz will serve as key swing factors, while historical patterns show supporting categories often shift rapidly once voting bodies see full campaigns and precursor outcomes.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,232結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETPaul Giamatti holds a narrow lead in the Best Supporting Actor market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by traders’ recognition of his proven awards pedigree and consistent critical acclaim in ensemble roles. The field remains highly competitive, with dozens of names clustered near 50% and established performers such as Michael Fassbender and Robert Pattinson trading in the mid-teens, underscoring the early-stage uncertainty before most 2026 releases have screened. Guild nominations, critics’ circle results, and late-year festival buzz will serve as key swing factors, while historical patterns show supporting categories often shift rapidly once voting bodies see full campaigns and precursor outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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