Harry Kane leads the market-implied odds for a top-five Ballon d’Or finish after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich and England, combining exceptional goal tallies, playmaking, and World Cup impact. Spain’s tournament success bolsters Rodri and Lamine Yamal, while Kylian Mbappé’s prolific output and Golden Boot contention keep him in the mix alongside PSG talents like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and defending champion Ousmane Dembélé. The 30-man shortlist, released September 8, reflects these club and international narratives ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London, where journalist votes will decide final placements amid typical late shifts from team achievements and standout individual displays.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$56,411 交易量
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
97%
Kylian Mbappé
90%
Rodri
74%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
52%
Lionel Messi
39%
Ousmane Dembélé
29%
Michael Olise
22%
Luis Diaz
17%
Fabian Ruiz
11%
Declan Rice
11%
Erling Haaland
10%
Jude Bellingham
8%
Pau Cubarsi
11%
Achraf Hakimi
4%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Vitinha
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
$56,411 交易量
Harry Kane
98%
Lamine Yamal
97%
Kylian Mbappé
90%
Rodri
74%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
52%
Lionel Messi
39%
Ousmane Dembélé
29%
Michael Olise
22%
Luis Diaz
17%
Fabian Ruiz
11%
Declan Rice
11%
Erling Haaland
10%
Jude Bellingham
8%
Pau Cubarsi
11%
Achraf Hakimi
4%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Vitinha
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Harry Kane leads the market-implied odds for a top-five Ballon d’Or finish after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich and England, combining exceptional goal tallies, playmaking, and World Cup impact. Spain’s tournament success bolsters Rodri and Lamine Yamal, while Kylian Mbappé’s prolific output and Golden Boot contention keep him in the mix alongside PSG talents like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and defending champion Ousmane Dembélé. The 30-man shortlist, released September 8, reflects these club and international narratives ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London, where journalist votes will decide final placements amid typical late shifts from team achievements and standout individual displays.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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