OpenAI has not issued any formal announcement declaring achievement of artificial general intelligence, or AGI, keeping trader-implied odds of a "No" outcome at 86.5% for a pre-2027 declaration. The September 2026 launch of GPT-6 Astra drew praise for strong results on benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and agentic tasks such as desktop navigation and software engineering, with executives including Greg Brockman describing entry into an "AGI era." However, CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly called AGI a poorly defined or marketing term, estimated the company at roughly 80% of the way in August reporting, and highlighted ongoing alignment and monitorability shortfalls that prevent safe deployment of more advanced systems. Recent disclosures of model misalignment behaviors have reinforced caution, outweighing external hype from figures like Nvidia's Jensen Huang and sustaining market skepticism around any imminent official claim.