**Trader consensus centers on 350K–400K total ballots cast in South Dakota’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting a non-presidential midterm environment.** Historical patterns show general-election turnout of roughly 53% in 2022 and 64% in the high-turnout 2024 presidential contest, with total ballots typically ranging 350K–430K. The current race—incumbent Republican Mike Rounds facing independent Brian Bengs after the Democratic nominee withdrew—lacks the intensity of a competitive partisan contest, limiting mobilization. Steady growth in early and absentee voting supports mid-to-upper 300K totals, while low primary participation and limited statewide salience cap upside. No major late developments have shifted these baselines, keeping the 350K–375K band the modal outcome in trader assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於350K-375K 44%
375K-400K 30%
325K-350K 16%
40萬以上 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於250K
<1%
250K-275K
2%
275K-300K
4%
30萬-32.5萬
7%
325K-350K
16%
350K-375K
44%
375K-400K
30%
40萬以上
7%
350K-375K 44%
375K-400K 30%
325K-350K 16%
40萬以上 7.3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於250K
$598 交易量
<1%
250K-275K
$1,115 交易量
2%
275K-300K
$611 交易量
4%
30萬-32.5萬
$1,510 交易量
7%
325K-350K
$787 交易量
16%
350K-375K
$1,284 交易量
44%
375K-400K
$1,242 交易量
30%
40萬以上
$1,799 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 350K–400K total ballots cast in South Dakota’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting a non-presidential midterm environment.** Historical patterns show general-election turnout of roughly 53% in 2022 and 64% in the high-turnout 2024 presidential contest, with total ballots typically ranging 350K–430K. The current race—incumbent Republican Mike Rounds facing independent Brian Bengs after the Democratic nominee withdrew—lacks the intensity of a competitive partisan contest, limiting mobilization. Steady growth in early and absentee voting supports mid-to-upper 300K totals, while low primary participation and limited statewide salience cap upside. No major late developments have shifted these baselines, keeping the 350K–375K band the modal outcome in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$8,948結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 350K–400K total ballots cast in South Dakota’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting a non-presidential midterm environment.** Historical patterns show general-election turnout of roughly 53% in 2022 and 64% in the high-turnout 2024 presidential contest, with total ballots typically ranging 350K–430K. The current race—incumbent Republican Mike Rounds facing independent Brian Bengs after the Democratic nominee withdrew—lacks the intensity of a competitive partisan contest, limiting mobilization. Steady growth in early and absentee voting supports mid-to-upper 300K totals, while low primary participation and limited statewide salience cap upside. No major late developments have shifted these baselines, keeping the 350K–375K band the modal outcome in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,948結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 350K–400K total ballots cast in South Dakota’s November 3, 2026, Senate election, reflecting a non-presidential midterm environment.** Historical patterns show general-election turnout of roughly 53% in 2022 and 64% in the high-turnout 2024 presidential contest, with total ballots typically ranging 350K–430K. The current race—incumbent Republican Mike Rounds facing independent Brian Bengs after the Democratic nominee withdrew—lacks the intensity of a competitive partisan contest, limiting mobilization. Steady growth in early and absentee voting supports mid-to-upper 300K totals, while low primary participation and limited statewide salience cap upside. No major late developments have shifted these baselines, keeping the 350K–375K band the modal outcome in trader assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions