**South Carolina Senate Election turnout markets price the 1.8M–2M range highest at 49 percent because historical midterm participation in the state has clustered in that band.** With roughly 3.4 million registered voters and turnout rates typically 42–48 percent of eligible voters in non-presidential years, the range aligns with 2022 patterns adjusted for modest population growth and stable rolls. Recent special Republican primaries and runoffs drew 336,000–370,000 ballots, underscoring limited early enthusiasm in an open-seat contest rated Likely Republican. Non-competitive dynamics reduce get-out-the-vote intensity compared with presidential cycles, while expanded early and absentee voting provides some upward support. Traders therefore assign lower probability to sub-1.6M or 2.2M+ outcomes absent major late mobilization or weather events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180萬-200萬 49%
160萬-180萬 29%
200萬-220萬 17%
少於1,400,000 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於1,400,000
4%
140萬-160萬
2%
160萬-180萬
29%
180萬-200萬
49%
200萬-220萬
17%
220萬+
<1%
180萬-200萬 49%
160萬-180萬 29%
200萬-220萬 17%
少於1,400,000 3.8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於1,400,000
$1,360 交易量
4%
140萬-160萬
$292 交易量
2%
160萬-180萬
$1,016 交易量
29%
180萬-200萬
$1,971 交易量
49%
200萬-220萬
$481 交易量
17%
220萬+
$228 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**South Carolina Senate Election turnout markets price the 1.8M–2M range highest at 49 percent because historical midterm participation in the state has clustered in that band.** With roughly 3.4 million registered voters and turnout rates typically 42–48 percent of eligible voters in non-presidential years, the range aligns with 2022 patterns adjusted for modest population growth and stable rolls. Recent special Republican primaries and runoffs drew 336,000–370,000 ballots, underscoring limited early enthusiasm in an open-seat contest rated Likely Republican. Non-competitive dynamics reduce get-out-the-vote intensity compared with presidential cycles, while expanded early and absentee voting provides some upward support. Traders therefore assign lower probability to sub-1.6M or 2.2M+ outcomes absent major late mobilization or weather events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$5,348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**South Carolina Senate Election turnout markets price the 1.8M–2M range highest at 49 percent because historical midterm participation in the state has clustered in that band.** With roughly 3.4 million registered voters and turnout rates typically 42–48 percent of eligible voters in non-presidential years, the range aligns with 2022 patterns adjusted for modest population growth and stable rolls. Recent special Republican primaries and runoffs drew 336,000–370,000 ballots, underscoring limited early enthusiasm in an open-seat contest rated Likely Republican. Non-competitive dynamics reduce get-out-the-vote intensity compared with presidential cycles, while expanded early and absentee voting provides some upward support. Traders therefore assign lower probability to sub-1.6M or 2.2M+ outcomes absent major late mobilization or weather events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,348結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET**South Carolina Senate Election turnout markets price the 1.8M–2M range highest at 49 percent because historical midterm participation in the state has clustered in that band.** With roughly 3.4 million registered voters and turnout rates typically 42–48 percent of eligible voters in non-presidential years, the range aligns with 2022 patterns adjusted for modest population growth and stable rolls. Recent special Republican primaries and runoffs drew 336,000–370,000 ballots, underscoring limited early enthusiasm in an open-seat contest rated Likely Republican. Non-competitive dynamics reduce get-out-the-vote intensity compared with presidential cycles, while expanded early and absentee voting provides some upward support. Traders therefore assign lower probability to sub-1.6M or 2.2M+ outcomes absent major late mobilization or weather events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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