Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, consistently registering 35-46% support in 2026 surveys while opposition parties remain fragmented below 18% each. This positioning stems from the party's control of the federal executive under President Claudia Sheinbaum, ongoing legislative majorities from the prior cycle, and voter preference for its coalition partners PVEM and PT, which together often surpass 40%. Opposition forces including PAN, PRI, and MC show limited coordination and weaker national appeal. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and stable trends, though realistic shifts could arise from coalition fractures, an economic slowdown, unified opposition alliances, or major policy controversies in the months before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫雷納黨 91.3%
全國行動黨(PAN) 6.5%
制度革命黨(PRI) 2.2%
公民運動(MC) <1%
$104,312 交易量
$104,312 交易量

莫雷納黨
91%

全國行動黨(PAN)
6%

制度革命黨(PRI)
2%

公民運動(MC)
<1%

工黨(PT)
<1%

墨西哥生態綠黨(PVEM)
<1%
莫雷納黨 91.3%
全國行動黨(PAN) 6.5%
制度革命黨(PRI) 2.2%
公民運動(MC) <1%
$104,312 交易量
$104,312 交易量

莫雷納黨
91%

全國行動黨(PAN)
6%

制度革命黨(PRI)
2%

公民運動(MC)
<1%

工黨(PT)
<1%

墨西哥生態綠黨(PVEM)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Morena maintains a commanding lead in polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, consistently registering 35-46% support in 2026 surveys while opposition parties remain fragmented below 18% each. This positioning stems from the party's control of the federal executive under President Claudia Sheinbaum, ongoing legislative majorities from the prior cycle, and voter preference for its coalition partners PVEM and PT, which together often surpass 40%. Opposition forces including PAN, PRI, and MC show limited coordination and weaker national appeal. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and stable trends, though realistic shifts could arise from coalition fractures, an economic slowdown, unified opposition alliances, or major policy controversies in the months before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions