The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於菲利普·布倫 42%
奧利維耶·福爾 40%
Ségolène Royal 38%
傑羅姆·蓋迪 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
菲利普·布倫
42%
奧利維耶·福爾
40%
Ségolène Royal
38%
傑羅姆·蓋迪
37%
愛曼紐·莫雷爾
26%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼
24%
菲利普·布倫 42%
奧利維耶·福爾 40%
Ségolène Royal 38%
傑羅姆·蓋迪 37%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
菲利普·布倫
$0 交易量
42%
奧利維耶·福爾
$0 交易量
40%
Ségolène Royal
$0 交易量
38%
傑羅姆·蓋迪
$0 交易量
37%
愛曼紐·莫雷爾
$0 交易量
26%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼
$0 交易量
24%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ETThe closed primary format, approved by PS members in July over Olivier Faure’s preferred open approach, restricts voting to party adherents and allied groups like Place Publique, concentrating influence among established networks. Raphaël Glucksmann enters as the leading contender following his Place Publique role and cross-party visibility, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Faure, Ségolène Royal, Philippe Brun, and Jérôme Guedj. Recent candidate declarations through early September, including Royal’s confirmation of sufficient sponsorships and Faure’s late-August announcement, have kept probabilities tightly grouped near 40 percent for several contenders. September debates and any shifts in internal endorsements or turnout mobilization could widen gaps before the October 9–10 first round.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions