Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from early September place its projected support between roughly 2% and 4 seats, with results fluctuating due to vote splitting among Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit supporters. Winter's independent slate submission has heightened volatility, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters can determine whether the list clears the barrier. Trader consensus on lower vote-share bins reflects this uncertainty and the party's limited name recognition ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3.25-4% 30%
低於2.5% 28%
4-5% 27%
5%以上 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低於2.5%
47%
2.5-3.25%
24%
3.25-4%
30%
4-5%
27%
5%以上
24%
3.25-4% 30%
低於2.5% 28%
4-5% 27%
5%以上 24%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
低於2.5%
$20 交易量
47%
2.5-3.25%
$0 交易量
24%
3.25-4%
$0 交易量
30%
4-5%
$0 交易量
27%
5%以上
$0 交易量
24%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from early September place its projected support between roughly 2% and 4 seats, with results fluctuating due to vote splitting among Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit supporters. Winter's independent slate submission has heightened volatility, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters can determine whether the list clears the barrier. Trader consensus on lower vote-share bins reflects this uncertainty and the party's limited name recognition ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-11-30市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from early September place its projected support between roughly 2% and 4 seats, with results fluctuating due to vote splitting among Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit supporters. Winter's independent slate submission has heightened volatility, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters can determine whether the list clears the barrier. Trader consensus on lower vote-share bins reflects this uncertainty and the party's limited name recognition ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-11-30市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from early September place its projected support between roughly 2% and 4 seats, with results fluctuating due to vote splitting among Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit supporters. Winter's independent slate submission has heightened volatility, as small shifts in turnout or undecided voters can determine whether the list clears the barrier. Trader consensus on lower vote-share bins reflects this uncertainty and the party's limited name recognition ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions