Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9月11日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9°C 85%
7°C或以下 20%
8°C 1%
10°C <1%
$745 交易量
$745 交易量
2026-09-11
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
9°C 85%
7°C或以下 20%
8°C 1%
10°C <1%
$745 交易量
$745 交易量
2026-09-11
7°C或以下
$20 交易量
否
8°C
$45 交易量
否
9°C
$228 交易量
是
10°C
$109 交易量
否
11°C
$178 交易量
否
12°C
$141 交易量
否
13°C
$5 交易量
否
14°C
$5 交易量
否
15°C
$5 交易量
否
16°C
$5 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$5 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$745結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$745結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Southeast winds advecting a cooler maritime air mass drove the primary uncertainty in Buenos Aires minimum temperatures for September 11, with National Meteorological Service forecasts centering on an 11°C low amid mostly cloudy skies and gusts to 50 km/h. Actual station data recorded a minimum of 12.7°C, above the 9–8°C range favored by traders at 51% and 46% implied probability. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat retention created the tight clustering around these thresholds, as modest forecast revisions of 1–2°C can shift resolution between adjacent bins. Historical September averages near 11–12°C provided limited guidance given the recent cold outbreak earlier in the month. Updated observational verification from official networks is expected to finalize market settlement shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions