Forecast consensus from meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of coastal drizzle or showers that could limit peak heating. These outcomes dominate trader positioning because they align with current GFS and regional guidance showing stable Mediterranean air masses, typical late-September sea-breeze moderation, and humidity levels around 50–65% that cap extreme warming. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide additional context, while slight model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing introduces the modest probability assigned to 29°C or 32°C. Updated runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月22日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
30°C 64%
31°C 36%
32°C 3%
29°C 2.6%
最新
$22,549 交易量
最新
$22,549 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
64%
31°C
36%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
30°C 64%
31°C 36%
32°C 3%
29°C 2.6%
最新
$22,549 交易量
最新
$22,549 交易量
2026-09-22
27°C或以下
$7,313 交易量
1%
28°C
$946 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,283 交易量
3%
30°C
$4,170 交易量
64%
31°C
$4,616 交易量
36%
32°C
$1,599 交易量
3%
33°C
$15 交易量
<1%
34°C
$36 交易量
<1%
35°C
$37 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,397 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$1,137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of coastal drizzle or showers that could limit peak heating. These outcomes dominate trader positioning because they align with current GFS and regional guidance showing stable Mediterranean air masses, typical late-September sea-breeze moderation, and humidity levels around 50–65% that cap extreme warming. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide additional context, while slight model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing introduces the modest probability assigned to 29°C or 32°C. Updated runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$22,549結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of coastal drizzle or showers that could limit peak heating. These outcomes dominate trader positioning because they align with current GFS and regional guidance showing stable Mediterranean air masses, typical late-September sea-breeze moderation, and humidity levels around 50–65% that cap extreme warming. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide additional context, while slight model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing introduces the modest probability assigned to 29°C or 32°C. Updated runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,549結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from meteorological models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and a modest chance of coastal drizzle or showers that could limit peak heating. These outcomes dominate trader positioning because they align with current GFS and regional guidance showing stable Mediterranean air masses, typical late-September sea-breeze moderation, and humidity levels around 50–65% that cap extreme warming. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide additional context, while slight model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing introduces the modest probability assigned to 29°C or 32°C. Updated runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions