Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS-based outlooks, positions Helsinki’s September 21 maximum near 16°C, aligning with the market’s 77.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September climatology at 60°N latitude typically yields highs of 14–15°C, and current conditions feature mild northerly flow with scattered showers and no significant warm-air advection to push readings notably higher. Afternoon observations and hourly guidance show peaks holding in the mid-teens Celsius, while limited upside risk to 17°C accounts for the secondary 21% probability. Updated model runs through midday have reinforced this narrow range, with resolution likely hinging on official Finnish Meteorological Institute maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基9月21日的最高溫度？
赫爾辛基9月21日的最高溫度？
16°C 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 2%
10°C或以下 <1%
$38,147 交易量
$38,147 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
59%
17°C
34%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 2%
10°C或以下 <1%
$38,147 交易量
$38,147 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$3,467 交易量
<1%
11°C
$5,453 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,298 交易量
<1%
13°C
$4,693 交易量
<1%
14°C
$4,067 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5,429 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5,670 交易量
59%
17°C
$4,937 交易量
34%
18°C
$2,569 交易量
2%
19°C
$183 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS-based outlooks, positions Helsinki’s September 21 maximum near 16°C, aligning with the market’s 77.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September climatology at 60°N latitude typically yields highs of 14–15°C, and current conditions feature mild northerly flow with scattered showers and no significant warm-air advection to push readings notably higher. Afternoon observations and hourly guidance show peaks holding in the mid-teens Celsius, while limited upside risk to 17°C accounts for the secondary 21% probability. Updated model runs through midday have reinforced this narrow range, with resolution likely hinging on official Finnish Meteorological Institute maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,147結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS-based outlooks, positions Helsinki’s September 21 maximum near 16°C, aligning with the market’s 77.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September climatology at 60°N latitude typically yields highs of 14–15°C, and current conditions feature mild northerly flow with scattered showers and no significant warm-air advection to push readings notably higher. Afternoon observations and hourly guidance show peaks holding in the mid-teens Celsius, while limited upside risk to 17°C accounts for the secondary 21% probability. Updated model runs through midday have reinforced this narrow range, with resolution likely hinging on official Finnish Meteorological Institute maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,147結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS-based outlooks, positions Helsinki’s September 21 maximum near 16°C, aligning with the market’s 77.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-September climatology at 60°N latitude typically yields highs of 14–15°C, and current conditions feature mild northerly flow with scattered showers and no significant warm-air advection to push readings notably higher. Afternoon observations and hourly guidance show peaks holding in the mid-teens Celsius, while limited upside risk to 17°C accounts for the secondary 21% probability. Updated model runs through midday have reinforced this narrow range, with resolution likely hinging on official Finnish Meteorological Institute maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions