**Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C daily maximum in the Seoul-Incheon region on September 10 stems from official meteorological observations and short-range model guidance confirming that peak temperature.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest insolation under post-summer conditions produced a measured high near this value at representative stations such as Incheon International Airport. Korea Meteorological Administration surface data and hourly reports show afternoon readings stabilizing around 22–25°C before cooling, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled revisions to the official daily maximum, differences between airport and urban Seoul stations, or late-day measurement adjustments exceeding 1°C. No significant warm-air advection or model bias appears in the latest guidance to alter this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月10日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$117,917 交易量
$117,917 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$117,917 交易量
$117,917 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
$5,626 交易量
否
20°C
$12,104 交易量
否
21°C
$20,085 交易量
否
22°C
$25,964 交易量
是
23°C
$17,155 交易量
否
24°C
$10,378 交易量
否
25°C
$5,913 交易量
否
26°C
$4,787 交易量
否
27°C
$6,773 交易量
否
28°C
$3,559 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$5,572 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C daily maximum in the Seoul-Incheon region on September 10 stems from official meteorological observations and short-range model guidance confirming that peak temperature.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest insolation under post-summer conditions produced a measured high near this value at representative stations such as Incheon International Airport. Korea Meteorological Administration surface data and hourly reports show afternoon readings stabilizing around 22–25°C before cooling, aligning with the market-implied outcome.
Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled revisions to the official daily maximum, differences between airport and urban Seoul stations, or late-day measurement adjustments exceeding 1°C. No significant warm-air advection or model bias appears in the latest guidance to alter this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$117,917結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C daily maximum in the Seoul-Incheon region on September 10 stems from official meteorological observations and short-range model guidance confirming that peak temperature.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest insolation under post-summer conditions produced a measured high near this value at representative stations such as Incheon International Airport. Korea Meteorological Administration surface data and hourly reports show afternoon readings stabilizing around 22–25°C before cooling, aligning with the market-implied outcome.
Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled revisions to the official daily maximum, differences between airport and urban Seoul stations, or late-day measurement adjustments exceeding 1°C. No significant warm-air advection or model bias appears in the latest guidance to alter this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117,917結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C daily maximum in the Seoul-Incheon region on September 10 stems from official meteorological observations and short-range model guidance confirming that peak temperature.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest insolation under post-summer conditions produced a measured high near this value at representative stations such as Incheon International Airport. Korea Meteorological Administration surface data and hourly reports show afternoon readings stabilizing around 22–25°C before cooling, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled revisions to the official daily maximum, differences between airport and urban Seoul stations, or late-day measurement adjustments exceeding 1°C. No significant warm-air advection or model bias appears in the latest guidance to alter this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions