**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 10, 2026 high temperature centers on 22°C (61% implied probability), followed by 23°C (23.5%) and 21°C (13.5%), reflecting model consensus around the long-term average high of ~22.3°C.** Current forecasts from GFS and other sources indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy day with light westerly to northwesterly winds under anticyclonic influence, supporting gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 11–14°C to afternoon peaks of 21–23°C. This setup aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Île-de-France region, where seasonal solar angles and moderate humidity limit extreme heating absent stronger high-pressure ridging or southerly flow. Recent model runs and observations from the prior day (highs near 21–22°C) show stable, mild patterns with low precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heat advection to push temperatures higher. Resolution will depend on official Météo-France or equivalent station maxima, with the tight clustering around 21–23°C underscoring limited forecast spread and the market's weighting of near-average outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
巴黎9月10日最高溫度？
22°C 59%
23°C 21%
21°C 18%
20°C 1.8%
最新
$25,922 交易量
最新
$25,922 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
18%
22°C
59%
23°C
21%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 59%
23°C 21%
21°C 18%
20°C 1.8%
最新
$25,922 交易量
最新
$25,922 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$1,847 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,633 交易量
<1%
19°C
$737 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,508 交易量
2%
21°C
$6,507 交易量
18%
22°C
$3,882 交易量
59%
23°C
$4,635 交易量
21%
24°C
$1,228 交易量
2%
25°C
$697 交易量
1%
26°C
$927 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$1,321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 10, 2026 high temperature centers on 22°C (61% implied probability), followed by 23°C (23.5%) and 21°C (13.5%), reflecting model consensus around the long-term average high of ~22.3°C.**
Current forecasts from GFS and other sources indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy day with light westerly to northwesterly winds under anticyclonic influence, supporting gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 11–14°C to afternoon peaks of 21–23°C. This setup aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Île-de-France region, where seasonal solar angles and moderate humidity limit extreme heating absent stronger high-pressure ridging or southerly flow.
Recent model runs and observations from the prior day (highs near 21–22°C) show stable, mild patterns with low precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heat advection to push temperatures higher. Resolution will depend on official Météo-France or equivalent station maxima, with the tight clustering around 21–23°C underscoring limited forecast spread and the market's weighting of near-average outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,922結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 10, 2026 high temperature centers on 22°C (61% implied probability), followed by 23°C (23.5%) and 21°C (13.5%), reflecting model consensus around the long-term average high of ~22.3°C.**
Current forecasts from GFS and other sources indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy day with light westerly to northwesterly winds under anticyclonic influence, supporting gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 11–14°C to afternoon peaks of 21–23°C. This setup aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Île-de-France region, where seasonal solar angles and moderate humidity limit extreme heating absent stronger high-pressure ridging or southerly flow.
Recent model runs and observations from the prior day (highs near 21–22°C) show stable, mild patterns with low precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heat advection to push temperatures higher. Resolution will depend on official Météo-France or equivalent station maxima, with the tight clustering around 21–23°C underscoring limited forecast spread and the market's weighting of near-average outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,922結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 10, 2026 high temperature centers on 22°C (61% implied probability), followed by 23°C (23.5%) and 21°C (13.5%), reflecting model consensus around the long-term average high of ~22.3°C.** Current forecasts from GFS and other sources indicate a mostly clear to partly cloudy day with light westerly to northwesterly winds under anticyclonic influence, supporting gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 11–14°C to afternoon peaks of 21–23°C. This setup aligns with typical early-autumn conditions in the Île-de-France region, where seasonal solar angles and moderate humidity limit extreme heating absent stronger high-pressure ridging or southerly flow. Recent model runs and observations from the prior day (highs near 21–22°C) show stable, mild patterns with low precipitation risk and no incoming fronts or heat advection to push temperatures higher. Resolution will depend on official Météo-France or equivalent station maxima, with the tight clustering around 21–23°C underscoring limited forecast spread and the market's weighting of near-average outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions