Official observations from the National Weather Service at Central Park, the primary reference station for New York City temperature records, established a daily maximum of 82°F on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome. This reading reflects standard surface air temperature measurements under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs near 79°F can be elevated by warm advection. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability stems from rapid post-event data verification by NOAA, minimizing uncertainty in resolution criteria. Only an unlikely revision to preliminary climatological data or a shift to an alternate station network could alter the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月9日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月9日的最高溫度？
82-83華氏度 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$63,368 交易量
$63,368 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83華氏度
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89華氏度
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
82-83華氏度 100.0%
華氏75度或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$63,368 交易量
$63,368 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏75度或以下
$450 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$439 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$2,500 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$6,159 交易量
<1%
82-83華氏度
$17,773 交易量
100%
84-85°F
$18,607 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$10,183 交易量
<1%
88-89華氏度
$2,815 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,406 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,049 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$987 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Central Park, the primary reference station for New York City temperature records, established a daily maximum of 82°F on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome. This reading reflects standard surface air temperature measurements under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs near 79°F can be elevated by warm advection. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability stems from rapid post-event data verification by NOAA, minimizing uncertainty in resolution criteria. Only an unlikely revision to preliminary climatological data or a shift to an alternate station network could alter the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$63,368結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Central Park, the primary reference station for New York City temperature records, established a daily maximum of 82°F on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome. This reading reflects standard surface air temperature measurements under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs near 79°F can be elevated by warm advection. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability stems from rapid post-event data verification by NOAA, minimizing uncertainty in resolution criteria. Only an unlikely revision to preliminary climatological data or a shift to an alternate station network could alter the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,368結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETOfficial observations from the National Weather Service at Central Park, the primary reference station for New York City temperature records, established a daily maximum of 82°F on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome. This reading reflects standard surface air temperature measurements under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs near 79°F can be elevated by warm advection. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability stems from rapid post-event data verification by NOAA, minimizing uncertainty in resolution criteria. Only an unlikely revision to preliminary climatological data or a shift to an alternate station network could alter the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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