Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to highs near 98–100°F in Austin on September 11 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light south winds and low rain chances below 10%. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where observed highs have repeatedly reached the upper 90s to low 100s amid above-normal temperatures and elevated dew points that boost heat indices. Differentiation between the closely matched 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinges on variables like afternoon cloud timing, precise boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Traders’ near-even split reflects genuine model spread and the narrow margin separating these thresholds in current guidance, with final NWS updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月11日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
4%
106°F或以上
3%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
華氏87度或以下
$65 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$30 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$30 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$115 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$68 交易量
11%
98-99°F
$294 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$1,438 交易量
40%
102-103°F
$249 交易量
8%
104-105°F
$8 交易量
4%
106°F或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to highs near 98–100°F in Austin on September 11 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light south winds and low rain chances below 10%. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where observed highs have repeatedly reached the upper 90s to low 100s amid above-normal temperatures and elevated dew points that boost heat indices. Differentiation between the closely matched 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinges on variables like afternoon cloud timing, precise boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Traders’ near-even split reflects genuine model spread and the narrow margin separating these thresholds in current guidance, with final NWS updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,763結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to highs near 98–100°F in Austin on September 11 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light south winds and low rain chances below 10%. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where observed highs have repeatedly reached the upper 90s to low 100s amid above-normal temperatures and elevated dew points that boost heat indices. Differentiation between the closely matched 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinges on variables like afternoon cloud timing, precise boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Traders’ near-even split reflects genuine model spread and the narrow margin separating these thresholds in current guidance, with final NWS updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,763結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service models points to highs near 98–100°F in Austin on September 11 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light south winds and low rain chances below 10%. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern, where observed highs have repeatedly reached the upper 90s to low 100s amid above-normal temperatures and elevated dew points that boost heat indices. Differentiation between the closely matched 98–99°F and 100–101°F outcomes hinges on variables like afternoon cloud timing, precise boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Traders’ near-even split reflects genuine model spread and the narrow margin separating these thresholds in current guidance, with final NWS updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions