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icon for 在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？

在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？

icon for 在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？

在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$13,246 交易量

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$13,246 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,246
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,246
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027年前美國債信是否會再次被降級？" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？" is "2027年前美國債信是否會再次被降級？" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.