Arthur Henrique (PL), the former mayor of Boa Vista, maintains a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling averages near 60 percent and his strong performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60 percent of valid votes before a pending judicial review of his candidacy registration. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and September, show him ahead of interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) by roughly 30 points or more, with other registered candidates trailing in single digits. Trader consensus reflects this margin alongside Henrique’s established base in the capital and party alignment, though an adverse electoral court ruling on eligibility or a late shift in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before first-round voting on October 4.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.4%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.4%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,794 KL.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 KL.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 KL.
2%
Rosi Aires
$227 KL.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$318 KL.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL), the former mayor of Boa Vista, maintains a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling averages near 60 percent and his strong performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60 percent of valid votes before a pending judicial review of his candidacy registration. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and September, show him ahead of interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) by roughly 30 points or more, with other registered candidates trailing in single digits. Trader consensus reflects this margin alongside Henrique’s established base in the capital and party alignment, though an adverse electoral court ruling on eligibility or a late shift in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before first-round voting on October 4.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,676Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL), the former mayor of Boa Vista, maintains a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling averages near 60 percent and his strong performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60 percent of valid votes before a pending judicial review of his candidacy registration. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and September, show him ahead of interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) by roughly 30 points or more, with other registered candidates trailing in single digits. Trader consensus reflects this margin alongside Henrique’s established base in the capital and party alignment, though an adverse electoral court ruling on eligibility or a late shift in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before first-round voting on October 4.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$5,676Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL), the former mayor of Boa Vista, maintains a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling averages near 60 percent and his strong performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60 percent of valid votes before a pending judicial review of his candidacy registration. Recent surveys, including those from Real Time Big Data and Quaest in August and September, show him ahead of interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) by roughly 30 points or more, with other registered candidates trailing in single digits. Trader consensus reflects this margin alongside Henrique’s established base in the capital and party alignment, though an adverse electoral court ruling on eligibility or a late shift in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome before first-round voting on October 4.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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