Rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services price pressures are the main factors driving trader consensus toward a 5.1%+ August 2026 PPI YoY outcome at 74% implied probability. July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, aided by sharp energy declines, yet base effects from earlier spikes and upstream pipeline inflation appear to be reversing that moderation ahead of today's Bureau of Labor Statistics release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader positioning on these dynamics, with lower buckets like 4.9% or 5.0% each below 6%, underscoring expectations that goods and services components will push the headline above prior consensus forecasts around 4.9%. The August print arrives just before the September FOMC meeting, where any upside surprise could influence near-term rate path assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5.1%+ 74%
4.9% 5.6%
5.0% 4.8%
4.6% 4.5%
$19,762 KL.
$19,762 KL.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
74%
5.1%+ 74%
4.9% 5.6%
5.0% 4.8%
4.6% 4.5%
$19,762 KL.
$19,762 KL.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
5%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
74%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel and persistent services price pressures are the main factors driving trader consensus toward a 5.1%+ August 2026 PPI YoY outcome at 74% implied probability. July's final demand PPI cooled to 4.7% year-over-year from 5.5% in June, aided by sharp energy declines, yet base effects from earlier spikes and upstream pipeline inflation appear to be reversing that moderation ahead of today's Bureau of Labor Statistics release. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader positioning on these dynamics, with lower buckets like 4.9% or 5.0% each below 6%, underscoring expectations that goods and services components will push the headline above prior consensus forecasts around 4.9%. The August print arrives just before the September FOMC meeting, where any upside surprise could influence near-term rate path assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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