China’s consumer price index has printed between 0.5% and 0.8% year-on-year through August 2026, keeping the full-year December 2026 reading on track for the 0.6–1.0% band that traders currently price at 53.5%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork and vegetables, continues to weigh on the headline rate while weak household spending and soft retail sales limit broader price pressures. A modest August rebound to 0.8%, driven by higher energy and transport costs amid global commodity moves, lifted core inflation only to 1.0% and has not altered the overall subdued trajectory. Factory-gate prices have firmed on the same external factors, yet ample domestic supply and restrained consumption have so far prevented stronger pass-through. With no major fiscal or monetary stimulus yet shifting demand significantly, the narrow 0.6–1.0% outcome remains the consensus range heading into the final months of the year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 56%
1.1 – 1.5% 25%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.9%
1.6 – 2.0% 2.9%
$85,500 KL.
$85,500 KL.
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
56%
1.1 – 1.5%
25%
1.6 – 2.0%
3%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 56%
1.1 – 1.5% 25%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.9%
1.6 – 2.0% 2.9%
$85,500 KL.
$85,500 KL.
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
56%
1.1 – 1.5%
25%
1.6 – 2.0%
3%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...China’s consumer price index has printed between 0.5% and 0.8% year-on-year through August 2026, keeping the full-year December 2026 reading on track for the 0.6–1.0% band that traders currently price at 53.5%. Persistent food deflation, especially in pork and vegetables, continues to weigh on the headline rate while weak household spending and soft retail sales limit broader price pressures. A modest August rebound to 0.8%, driven by higher energy and transport costs amid global commodity moves, lifted core inflation only to 1.0% and has not altered the overall subdued trajectory. Factory-gate prices have firmed on the same external factors, yet ample domestic supply and restrained consumption have so far prevented stronger pass-through. With no major fiscal or monetary stimulus yet shifting demand significantly, the narrow 0.6–1.0% outcome remains the consensus range heading into the final months of the year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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