Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and his 69.8% victory in the prior cycle. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his nomination that month but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat in 2010. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbency advantage and partisan voting in northeastern Mississippi. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$117,455 KL.
$117,455 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Trent Kelly (R)
95%
Cliff Johnson (D)
4%
$117,455 KL.
$117,455 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Trent Kelly (R)
$85,217 KL.
95%
Cliff Johnson (D)
$32,239 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and his 69.8% victory in the prior cycle. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his nomination that month but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat in 2010. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbency advantage and partisan voting in northeastern Mississippi. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$117,455Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and his 69.8% victory in the prior cycle. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his nomination that month but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat in 2010. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbency advantage and partisan voting in northeastern Mississippi. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$117,455Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in the MS-01 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican and his 69.8% victory in the prior cycle. Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his nomination that month but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat in 2010. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbency advantage and partisan voting in northeastern Mississippi. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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