Kathy Castor benefits from incumbency and proven overperformance in the redrawn Florida 14th district, where Republican-led map changes shifted boundaries entirely within Hillsborough County and boosted the GOP presidential baseline. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination after winning a crowded August 18 primary, drawing national party support as the general election matchup solidified. Early polling showed Castor ahead, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as a toss-up or slight lean, underscoring how her local profile and fundraising edge offset the district’s altered partisan composition ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$42,203 KL.
$42,203 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
36%
$42,203 KL.
$42,203 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$22,070 KL.
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,132 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor benefits from incumbency and proven overperformance in the redrawn Florida 14th district, where Republican-led map changes shifted boundaries entirely within Hillsborough County and boosted the GOP presidential baseline. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination after winning a crowded August 18 primary, drawing national party support as the general election matchup solidified. Early polling showed Castor ahead, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as a toss-up or slight lean, underscoring how her local profile and fundraising edge offset the district’s altered partisan composition ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,203Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor benefits from incumbency and proven overperformance in the redrawn Florida 14th district, where Republican-led map changes shifted boundaries entirely within Hillsborough County and boosted the GOP presidential baseline. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination after winning a crowded August 18 primary, drawing national party support as the general election matchup solidified. Early polling showed Castor ahead, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as a toss-up or slight lean, underscoring how her local profile and fundraising edge offset the district’s altered partisan composition ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,203Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor benefits from incumbency and proven overperformance in the redrawn Florida 14th district, where Republican-led map changes shifted boundaries entirely within Hillsborough County and boosted the GOP presidential baseline. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination after winning a crowded August 18 primary, drawing national party support as the general election matchup solidified. Early polling showed Castor ahead, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as a toss-up or slight lean, underscoring how her local profile and fundraising edge offset the district’s altered partisan composition ahead of the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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