**Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 race due to the district’s Republican lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—and his victory in the March 2026 GOP primary after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew amid scandal.** Herrera, a firearms manufacturer and YouTuber endorsed by President Trump, has outraised Democrat Katy Padilla Stout significantly and led her 47-41 in a July 2026 poll. Stout, a San Antonio attorney who won her primary, benefits from endorsements by gun-safety groups and local law enforcement plus national Democratic targeting, while highlighting Herrera’s past controversies. Most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s fundamentals and Herrera’s grassroots support despite the open-seat dynamics and ongoing attacks on his record.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$40,160 KL.
$40,160 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brandon Herrera (R)
69%
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
31%
$40,160 KL.
$40,160 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brandon Herrera (R)
$23,741 KL.
69%
Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$16,420 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 race due to the district’s Republican lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—and his victory in the March 2026 GOP primary after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew amid scandal.** Herrera, a firearms manufacturer and YouTuber endorsed by President Trump, has outraised Democrat Katy Padilla Stout significantly and led her 47-41 in a July 2026 poll. Stout, a San Antonio attorney who won her primary, benefits from endorsements by gun-safety groups and local law enforcement plus national Democratic targeting, while highlighting Herrera’s past controversies. Most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s fundamentals and Herrera’s grassroots support despite the open-seat dynamics and ongoing attacks on his record.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,160Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 race due to the district’s Republican lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—and his victory in the March 2026 GOP primary after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew amid scandal.** Herrera, a firearms manufacturer and YouTuber endorsed by President Trump, has outraised Democrat Katy Padilla Stout significantly and led her 47-41 in a July 2026 poll. Stout, a San Antonio attorney who won her primary, benefits from endorsements by gun-safety groups and local law enforcement plus national Democratic targeting, while highlighting Herrera’s past controversies. Most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s fundamentals and Herrera’s grassroots support despite the open-seat dynamics and ongoing attacks on his record.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$40,160Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Brandon Herrera holds a strong position in the TX-23 race due to the district’s Republican lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—and his victory in the March 2026 GOP primary after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew amid scandal.** Herrera, a firearms manufacturer and YouTuber endorsed by President Trump, has outraised Democrat Katy Padilla Stout significantly and led her 47-41 in a July 2026 poll. Stout, a San Antonio attorney who won her primary, benefits from endorsements by gun-safety groups and local law enforcement plus national Democratic targeting, while highlighting Herrera’s past controversies. Most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s fundamentals and Herrera’s grassroots support despite the open-seat dynamics and ongoing attacks on his record.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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