Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering Lancaster County and southern York County, as reflected in trader consensus on the outcome. Both candidates secured uncontested primary nominations in May 2026, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the race Safe or Solid Republican for months. Smucker's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce the positioning, with limited Democratic path-to-victory options in the district's voting patterns. Nancy Mannion, a nurse and healthcare consultant, faces structural barriers typical of challengers in such areas. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$25,718 KL.
$25,718 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
98%
Nancy Mannion (D)
2%
$25,718 KL.
$25,718 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Lloyd Smucker (R)
$15,668 KL.
98%
Nancy Mannion (D)
$10,050 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering Lancaster County and southern York County, as reflected in trader consensus on the outcome. Both candidates secured uncontested primary nominations in May 2026, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the race Safe or Solid Republican for months. Smucker's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce the positioning, with limited Democratic path-to-victory options in the district's voting patterns. Nancy Mannion, a nurse and healthcare consultant, faces structural barriers typical of challengers in such areas. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,718Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering Lancaster County and southern York County, as reflected in trader consensus on the outcome. Both candidates secured uncontested primary nominations in May 2026, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the race Safe or Solid Republican for months. Smucker's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce the positioning, with limited Democratic path-to-victory options in the district's voting patterns. Nancy Mannion, a nurse and healthcare consultant, faces structural barriers typical of challengers in such areas. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$25,718Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering Lancaster County and southern York County, as reflected in trader consensus on the outcome. Both candidates secured uncontested primary nominations in May 2026, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the race Safe or Solid Republican for months. Smucker's substantial fundraising edge and established incumbency further reinforce the positioning, with limited Democratic path-to-victory options in the district's voting patterns. Nancy Mannion, a nurse and healthcare consultant, faces structural barriers typical of challengers in such areas. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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