Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans transformed the ninth congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a Republican-leaning district with a PVI around R+9, incorporating extensive rural counties east of Memphis and diluting its urban core. This shift, following the retirement of longtime incumbent Steve Cohen, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Brent Taylor at over 90 percent. Taylor secured the GOP primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement and faces Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, who prevailed in his primary but confronts a map where roughly 71 percent of voters are new to the district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns, late polling movements, or unforeseen events, though the structural changes present substantial barriers for the Democratic candidate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$45,075 KL.
$45,075 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
90%
Justin Pearson (D)
9%
$45,075 KL.
$45,075 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
$24,821 KL.
90%
Justin Pearson (D)
$20,254 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans transformed the ninth congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a Republican-leaning district with a PVI around R+9, incorporating extensive rural counties east of Memphis and diluting its urban core. This shift, following the retirement of longtime incumbent Steve Cohen, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Brent Taylor at over 90 percent. Taylor secured the GOP primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement and faces Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, who prevailed in his primary but confronts a map where roughly 71 percent of voters are new to the district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns, late polling movements, or unforeseen events, though the structural changes present substantial barriers for the Democratic candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,075Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans transformed the ninth congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a Republican-leaning district with a PVI around R+9, incorporating extensive rural counties east of Memphis and diluting its urban core. This shift, following the retirement of longtime incumbent Steve Cohen, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Brent Taylor at over 90 percent. Taylor secured the GOP primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement and faces Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, who prevailed in his primary but confronts a map where roughly 71 percent of voters are new to the district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns, late polling movements, or unforeseen events, though the structural changes present substantial barriers for the Democratic candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,075Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans transformed the ninth congressional district from a long-held Democratic seat into a Republican-leaning district with a PVI around R+9, incorporating extensive rural counties east of Memphis and diluting its urban core. This shift, following the retirement of longtime incumbent Steve Cohen, underpins trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Brent Taylor at over 90 percent. Taylor secured the GOP primary with Donald Trump’s endorsement and faces Democratic nominee Justin Pearson, who prevailed in his primary but confronts a map where roughly 71 percent of voters are new to the district. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns, late polling movements, or unforeseen events, though the structural changes present substantial barriers for the Democratic candidate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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