Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall Senate intentions in Minas Gerais, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Aécio Neves (PSDB), Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP). Aécio’s late-August confirmation of his candidacy, after initially declining to run, has quickly elevated him into the upper tier alongside the re-election-seeking Viana and PL-backed Sávio. High undecided shares near 29% and substantial branco/nulo responses keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds across these contenders because no single candidate has consolidated a durable edge in the two-vote system, and the final weeks of campaigning plus any last-minute substitutions before the September 14 deadline could still reorder the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCarlos Viana 26%
Aécio Neves 23.9%
Domingos Sávio 21.4%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 KL.
$46,431 KL.
Carlos Viana
26%
Aécio Neves
24%
Domingos Sávio
21%
Marília Campos
21%
Marcelo Aro
6%
Marco Antônio Superman
2%
Áurea Carolina
2%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Carlos Viana 26%
Aécio Neves 23.9%
Domingos Sávio 21.4%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 KL.
$46,431 KL.
Carlos Viana
26%
Aécio Neves
24%
Domingos Sávio
21%
Marília Campos
21%
Marcelo Aro
6%
Marco Antônio Superman
2%
Áurea Carolina
2%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall Senate intentions in Minas Gerais, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Aécio Neves (PSDB), Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP). Aécio’s late-August confirmation of his candidacy, after initially declining to run, has quickly elevated him into the upper tier alongside the re-election-seeking Viana and PL-backed Sávio. High undecided shares near 29% and substantial branco/nulo responses keep the ordering fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds across these contenders because no single candidate has consolidated a durable edge in the two-vote system, and the final weeks of campaigning plus any last-minute substitutions before the September 14 deadline could still reorder the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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