Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJanaina Riva 76%
Mauro Mendes 18%
Jose Medeiros 4.5%
Pedro Taques 2.6%
$23,410 KL.
$23,410 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
76%
Mauro Mendes
18%
Jose Medeiros
4%
Pedro Taques
3%
Fávaro
2%
Margareth Buzetti
<1%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
<1%
Coronel Darwin
<1%
Galvan
<1%
Beny Godoy
<1%
Janaina Riva 76%
Mauro Mendes 18%
Jose Medeiros 4.5%
Pedro Taques 2.6%
$23,410 KL.
$23,410 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Janaina Riva
$12,802 KL.
76%
Mauro Mendes
$6,281 KL.
18%
Jose Medeiros
$601 KL.
4%
Pedro Taques
$634 KL.
3%
Fávaro
$542 KL.
2%
Margareth Buzetti
$495 KL.
<1%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$491 KL.
<1%
Coronel Darwin
$491 KL.
<1%
Galvan
$570 KL.
<1%
Beny Godoy
$502 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,410Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$23,410Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Janaina Riva (MDB) leads the market for second place in Mato Grosso’s October 4, 2026, Senate election at 75.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling trends that place her behind frontrunner Mauro Mendes (União) while ahead of José Medeiros (PL), Carlos Fávaro (PSD), and Pedro Taques (PSB). Multiple surveys through early September, including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados, show Mendes consolidating first-place support above 45% in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios, with Riva holding steady near 30% and the next tier trailing further back. Riva’s August convention launch within a PL-MDB coalition, her record as a three-term state deputy and former assembly president, and focus on health, education, and women’s issues have supported her positioning. High undecided rates above 30-50% in recent polls leave room for late movement, though no major shifts have altered the established ordering in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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