Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district with roughly 85% of the June primary vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Olszewski’s 18-point margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus around 95% for the Democratic outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan baseline, early candidate consolidation on the Democratic side, and Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Wallace’s limited fundraising. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural lean and incumbency status limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$24,629 KL.
$24,629 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Johnny Olszewski (D)
96%
Dave Wallace (R)
5%
$24,629 KL.
$24,629 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Johnny Olszewski (D)
$12,596 KL.
96%
Dave Wallace (R)
$12,034 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district with roughly 85% of the June primary vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Olszewski’s 18-point margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus around 95% for the Democratic outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan baseline, early candidate consolidation on the Democratic side, and Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Wallace’s limited fundraising. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural lean and incumbency status limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,629Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district with roughly 85% of the June primary vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Olszewski’s 18-point margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus around 95% for the Democratic outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan baseline, early candidate consolidation on the Democratic side, and Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Wallace’s limited fundraising. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural lean and incumbency status limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,629Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district with roughly 85% of the June primary vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest. The district’s D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Olszewski’s 18-point margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus around 95% for the Democratic outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan baseline, early candidate consolidation on the Democratic side, and Olszewski’s substantial cash-on-hand advantage over Wallace’s limited fundraising. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural lean and incumbency status limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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