Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established record as representative. Jacobs secured 57.7% in the June top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Ricardo Cabrera, who received 37% and gained the California Republican Party endorsement. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Jacobs' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and recent endorsements from groups focused on military and veteran issues. Cabrera, a cybersecurity professional and small business owner emphasizing affordability and term limits, faces structural headwinds in the San Diego-based district. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the limited path to an upset absent major late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$33,967 KL.
$33,967 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
96%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
5%
$33,967 KL.
$33,967 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Sara Jacobs (D)
$18,229 KL.
96%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
$15,738 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established record as representative. Jacobs secured 57.7% in the June top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Ricardo Cabrera, who received 37% and gained the California Republican Party endorsement. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Jacobs' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and recent endorsements from groups focused on military and veteran issues. Cabrera, a cybersecurity professional and small business owner emphasizing affordability and term limits, faces structural headwinds in the San Diego-based district. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the limited path to an upset absent major late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,967Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established record as representative. Jacobs secured 57.7% in the June top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Ricardo Cabrera, who received 37% and gained the California Republican Party endorsement. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Jacobs' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and recent endorsements from groups focused on military and veteran issues. Cabrera, a cybersecurity professional and small business owner emphasizing affordability and term limits, faces structural headwinds in the San Diego-based district. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the limited path to an upset absent major late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,967Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established record as representative. Jacobs secured 57.7% in the June top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Republican Ricardo Cabrera, who received 37% and gained the California Republican Party endorsement. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, supported by Jacobs' substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and recent endorsements from groups focused on military and veteran issues. Cabrera, a cybersecurity professional and small business owner emphasizing affordability and term limits, faces structural headwinds in the San Diego-based district. Trader consensus at these levels accounts for the limited path to an upset absent major late developments such as unexpected scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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