Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$14,137 KL.
$14,137 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Dave Min (D)
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
6%
$14,137 KL.
$14,137 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Dave Min (D)
$3,261 KL.
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
$10,876 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,137Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,137Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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